predicted that while the Chinese military could respond to Pelosi’s divisive trip in the short term with “some aggressive moves” such as missile launches, Beijing will probably do its best to prevent the stand-off from spiraling out of control.
The Chinese response “will come in phases and not primarily in the military domain,”
Rogin wrote in an opinion piece published on Tuesday, after the US
House speaker arrived on the self-governed island which Beijing
considers part of its territory. Such a development could “forever change the US-China relationship,” while putting Taiwan under serious pressure, he added.
According to the journalist, some US officials believe that “there is a contingent within the Chinese leadership”
who are keen to use Pelosi’s trip as a pretext to change China’s
posture in the region while ramping up its military presence. The
short-term retaliation could also target Taiwan’s economy and society." RT
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